Is the market ready to correct? In regards to the S & P ETF SPY, there are some large signs in both the technical area and the fundamental area that the market is hitting a top and is ready for a correction.
On the fundamental side of the equation, earnings and overall economic activity might be taking a breather. Another eye opener is P/E ratios are rising at a clip that earnings growth is not matching. Continuous government blundering is also starting to attract appropriate attention.
Technically, alarms are going off all over the place. This second shot at $159.00 has been a failure. MACD, and RSI at multiple levels (3-month and 1 year) are at overheated levels. May to June the last couple of years has shown to be a down by 5%+ period. With the SPY, that is an approximate 7 point drop.
With all these things going on, a put trade of June $155.00 puts or some sort of put spread in the $157 - $155 range would be traded.
***Disclaimer - This is just an opinion and should not be taken as a recommendation. Do your own due diligence before trading or investing!***
Showing posts with label Put spreads. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Put spreads. Show all posts
Friday, April 26, 2013
Wednesday, April 10, 2013
Put Trade in Gold Still In Play With Goldman Note
With Goldman Sachs' bearish note on Gold, the put trade for GLD, and or IAU mentioned last week looks like it still has a chance to be put into motion. Of course, we have to wait until there is a confirmation close below $150.00 as mentioned in a previous post. A positive to this is that the put prices are a week's worth less in time value than when the trade alert happened. We'll see.....
*** This should be considered just information and opinions. Use your own Due Diligence before trading or investing.***
*** This should be considered just information and opinions. Use your own Due Diligence before trading or investing.***
Tuesday, April 2, 2013
Gold Looking Weak; Put Trade Possible
Research is showing that gold could be looking at a fall to the $1300 - $1400 dollar per ounce range in the next 3-6 months.
US economic output continues to stabilize and grow. This takes away some of the fear investment in gold. To go along with this economic improvement, the US Dollar seems to be in a stronger position which also has a transfer effect into the dollar from gold.
Technically, the chart is showing support at the $1500 level. But if level fails, look for the next support to come from the $1300 - $1400 level. Below is a barchart.com 5 year (weekly bars) chart for GLD which tracks gold.
Because there are both fundamental and technical indicators showing a possible fall, an alert is being created. A possible trade would be to purchase some puts or put spreads. Be sure to wait for the confirmation of the break of $1500 is recommended before taking any action. With stock trading, early birds get the worm far less often.
As always, these are just opinions. Please do your own due diligence before any trading or investing activity occurs.
US economic output continues to stabilize and grow. This takes away some of the fear investment in gold. To go along with this economic improvement, the US Dollar seems to be in a stronger position which also has a transfer effect into the dollar from gold.
Technically, the chart is showing support at the $1500 level. But if level fails, look for the next support to come from the $1300 - $1400 level. Below is a barchart.com 5 year (weekly bars) chart for GLD which tracks gold.
Because there are both fundamental and technical indicators showing a possible fall, an alert is being created. A possible trade would be to purchase some puts or put spreads. Be sure to wait for the confirmation of the break of $1500 is recommended before taking any action. With stock trading, early birds get the worm far less often.
As always, these are just opinions. Please do your own due diligence before any trading or investing activity occurs.
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